Science Forecasts: Modeling and Communicating Developments in Science, Technology, and Innovation

In Wolfgang Glänzel, Henk F. Moed, Ulrich Schmoch & Mike Thelwall (eds.), Springer Handbook of Science and Technology Indicators. Springer Verlag. pp. 145-157 (2019)
  Copy   BIBTEX

Abstract

In a knowledge-based economy, science and technology are omnipresent, and their importance is undisputed. Equally evident is the need to allocate resources, both monetary and human, in an effective way to foster innovation [6.1, 6.2]. In the preceding decades, science policy has embraced data mining and metrics to gain insights into the structure and evolution of science and to devise metrics and indicators [6.3], but it has not invested significant efforts into mathematical, statistical, and computational models that can predict future developments in science, technology, and innovation ) in support of data-driven decision making.Recent advances in computational power combined with the unprecedented volume and variety of data concerning science and technology developments yielded ideal conditions for the advancement of computational modeling approaches that can be not only empirically validated, but used to simulate and understand the structure and dynamics of STI in support of improved human decision making.In this chapter, we review and demonstrate the power of computational models for simulating and predicting possible STI developments and futures. In addition, we discuss novel means to visualize and broadcast STI forecasts to make them more accessible to general audiences.

Other Versions

No versions found

Links

PhilArchive



    Upload a copy of this work     Papers currently archived: 101,219

External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server

Through your library

Similar books and articles

Challenges, Approaches and Solutions in Data Integration for Research and Innovation.Maurizio Lenzerini & Cinzia Daraio - 2019 - In Wolfgang Glänzel, Henk F. Moed, Ulrich Schmoch & Mike Thelwall (eds.), Springer Handbook of Science and Technology Indicators. Springer Verlag. pp. 397-420.
Standardization and Standards as Science and Innovation Indicators.Knut Blind - 2019 - In Wolfgang Glänzel, Henk F. Moed, Ulrich Schmoch & Mike Thelwall (eds.), Springer Handbook of Science and Technology Indicators. Springer Verlag. pp. 1057-1068.
Nanoscience and Nanotechnology: Assessing the Nature of Innovation in These Fields.Michael D. Mehta - 2002 - Bulletin of Science, Technology and Society 22 (4):269-273.
Functional Patent Classification.Andrea Bonaccorsi, Gualtiero Fantoni, Riccardo Apreda & Donata Gabelloni - 2019 - In Wolfgang Glänzel, Henk F. Moed, Ulrich Schmoch & Mike Thelwall (eds.), Springer Handbook of Science and Technology Indicators. Springer Verlag. pp. 983-1003.
Science Mapping and the Identification of Topics: Theoretical and Methodological Considerations.Bart Thijs - 2019 - In Wolfgang Glänzel, Henk F. Moed, Ulrich Schmoch & Mike Thelwall (eds.), Springer Handbook of Science and Technology Indicators. Springer Verlag. pp. 213-233.
Handbook of quantitative studies of science and technology.A. F. J. Van Raan (ed.) - 1988 - New York, N.Y., U.S.A.: Sole distributors for the U.S.A. and Canada, Elsevier Science Pub. Co..

Analytics

Added to PP
2020-02-07

Downloads
10 (#1,474,523)

6 months
3 (#1,477,354)

Historical graph of downloads
How can I increase my downloads?

Citations of this work

No citations found.

Add more citations

References found in this work

No references found.

Add more references