A Paradox of Evidential Equivalence

Mind 129 (513):113-127 (2020)
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Abstract

Our evidence can be about different subject matters. In fact, necessarily equivalent pieces of evidence can be about different subject matters. Does the hyperintensionality of ‘aboutness’ engender any hyperintensionality at the level of rational credence? In this paper, I present a case which seems to suggest that the answer is ‘yes’. In particular, I argue that our intuitive notions of independent evidence and inadmissible evidence are sensitive to aboutness in a hyperintensional way. We are thus left with a paradox. While there is strong reason to think that rational credence cannot make such hyperintensional distinctions, our intuitive judgements about certain cases seem to demand that it does.

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David Builes
Princeton University

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References found in this work

Aboutness.Stephen Yablo - 2014 - Oxford: Princeton University Press.
On the Plurality of Worlds.David Lewis - 1986 - Revue Philosophique de la France Et de l'Etranger 178 (3):388-390.
What conditional probability could not be.Alan Hájek - 2003 - Synthese 137 (3):273--323.

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