- New
-
Topics
- All Categories
- Metaphysics and Epistemology
- Value Theory
- Science, Logic, and Mathematics
- Science, Logic, and Mathematics
- Logic and Philosophy of Logic
- Philosophy of Biology
- Philosophy of Cognitive Science
- Philosophy of Computing and Information
- Philosophy of Mathematics
- Philosophy of Physical Science
- Philosophy of Social Science
- Philosophy of Probability
- General Philosophy of Science
- Philosophy of Science, Misc
- History of Western Philosophy
- Philosophical Traditions
- Philosophy, Misc
- Other Academic Areas
- Journals
- Submit material
- More
Studying the use of base rates: Normal science or shifting paradigm?
Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):30-30 (1996)
Abstract
The underutilization of base rates is a consistent finding. The strong claim that base rates are ignored has been rejected and this needs no further emphasis. Following the path of “normal science,” research examines the conditions predicting changes in the degree of underutilization. A scientific revolution that might dethrone the heuristics and biases paradigm is not in sight.Other Versions
No versions found
My notes
Similar books and articles
If the base rate fallacy is a fallacy, does it matter how frequently it is committed?Jonathan E. Adler - 1997 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 20 (4):774-775.
Conservatism revisited: Base rates, prior probabilities, and averaging strategies.Nancy Paule Melone & Timothy W. McGuire - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):36-37.
The base rate controversy: Is the glass half-full or half-empty?Gideon Keren & Lambert J. Thijs - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):26-26.
The implicit use of base rates in experiential and ecologically valid tasks.Barbara A. Spellman - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):38-38.
Base rates in the applied domain of accounting.Lisa Koonce - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):29-30.
Are base rates a natural category of information?Terry Connolly - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):19-20.
Base rates do not constrain nonprobability judgments.Paul D. Windschitl & Gary L. Wells - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):40-41.
Improving decision accuracy where base rates matter: The prediction of violent recidivism.Vernon L. Quinsey - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):37-38.
Reasoning with base rates is routine, relatively effortless, and context dependent.Gordon Pennycook & Valerie A. Thompson - 2012 - Psychonomic Bulletin and Review 19 (3):528-534.
Ecologically structured information: The power of pictures and other effective data presentations.Wolfgang Gaissmaier, Nils Straubinger & David C. Funder - 2007 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 30 (3):263-264.
Analytics
Added to PP
2014-01-20
Downloads
35 (#636,908)
6 months
6 (#825,551)
2014-01-20
Downloads
35 (#636,908)
6 months
6 (#825,551)
Historical graph of downloads
Citations of this work
A generalized signal detection model to predict rational variation in base rate use.Peter R. Mueser, Nelson Cowan & Kim T. Mueser - 1999 - Cognition 69 (3):267-312.
References found in this work
The Structure of Scientific Revolutions.Thomas Samuel Kuhn - 1962 - Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Edited by Otto Neurath.
Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic & Amos Tversky (eds.) - 1982 - Cambridge University Press.
Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment.Richard E. Nisbett & Lee Ross - 1980 - Englewood Cliffs, NJ, USA: Prentice-Hall.
How Monkeys See the World: Inside the Mind of Another Species.Dorothy L. Cheney & Robert M. Seyfarth - 1990 - University of Chicago Press.
PhilPapers logo by Andrea Andrews and Meghan Driscoll.
This site uses cookies and Google Analytics (see our terms & conditions for details regarding the privacy implications). Use of this site is subject to terms & conditions.
All rights reserved by The PhilPapers Foundation
Server: philpapers-web-667477cd97-sfdq8 dc2