Conditional Probabilities, Conditionalization, and Dutch Books

PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1990:503-515 (1990)
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Abstract

Relations between conditional probabilities, revisions of probabilities in the light of new information, and conditions of ideal rationality are discussed herein. The formal character of conditional probabilities, and their significance for epistemic states of agents is taken up. Then principles are considered that would, under certain conditions, equate rationally revised probabilities on new information with probabilities reached by conditionalizing on this information. And lastly the possibility of kinds of ' books ' against known non-conditionalizers is explored, and the question is taken up, What, if anything, would be wrong with a person against whom such a book could be made?

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reprint Sobel, Jordan Howard (1990) "Conditional Probabilities, Conditionalization, and Dutch Books". PSA Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1990(1):502-515

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Citations of this work

Two envelopes.Jordan Howard Sobel - 1994 - Theory and Decision 36 (1):69-96.
Bayesian Epistemology and Having Evidence.Jeffrey Dunn - 2010 - Dissertation, University of Massachusetts, Amherst

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