Mind (531):793-804 (
2024)
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Abstract
This paper is a discussion note on Isaacs et al. (2022), who have claimed to offer a new motivation for imprecise probabilities, based on the mathematical phenomenon of non-measurability. In this note, I clarify some consequences of their proposal. In particular, I show that if their proposal is applied to a bounded 3-dimensional space, then they have to reject at least one of the following:
(i) If A is at most as probable as B and B is at most as probable as C, then A is at most as probable as C.
(ii) Let A ∩ C = B ∩ C = ∅. A is at most as probable as B iff (A ∪ C) is at most as probable as (B ∪ C).
But rejecting either statement seems unattractive.