Underconfidence in predicting future events

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Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society 26 (3):236-237 (1988)
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10.3758/bf03337297

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Overconfidence in ignorant experts.James V. Bradley - 1981 - Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society 17 (2):82-84.
Temporal aspects of probabilistic predictions.Gideon Keren & Willem A. Wagenaar - 1987 - Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society 25 (1):61-64.

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