A paradox of confirmation

Erkenntnis 29 (2):169 - 180 (1988)
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Abstract

I present a puzzle which seems simple, but is found to have interesting implications for confirmation. Its dissolution also helps us to throw light on the relationship between first- and second-order probabilities construed as rational degrees of belief.

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Ruth Weintraub
Tel Aviv University

References found in this work

Conjectures and Refutations.K. Popper - 1962 - Les Etudes Philosophiques 21 (3):431-434.
Human Knowledge: Its Scope and Limits.Bertrand Russell - 1948 - London and New York: Routledge.
The continuum of inductive methods.Rudolf Carnap - 1952 - [Chicago]: University of Chicago Press.
Rational Decision and Causality.Ellery Eells - 1982 - Cambridge University Press.
Natural Kinds.W. V. O. Quine - 2011 - In Robert B. Talisse & Scott F. Aikin (eds.), The Pragmatism Reader: From Peirce Through the Present. Princeton University Press. pp. 234-248.

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